Need for Modern Weather Prediction Models: Kerala Chief Minister

Need for Modern Weather Prediction Models: Kerala Chief Minister

Context:

Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan emphasized the importance of developing modern, location-specific, and accurate weather prediction models to enable early disaster mitigation measures and save lives and property.

  • Mr. Vijayan announced plans to develop a modern township in Wayanad for those displaced by recent landslides, addressing the immediate need for rehabilitation and housing.

Relevance:
GS-03 (Disaster Management)

INSAT-3DR:

  • INSAT-3DR, along with INSAT-3D, plays a crucial role in India’s meteorological advancements by aiding the India Meteorological Department (IMD) in weather forecasting and monitoring.

Key Highlights

  • Advanced Meteorological Satellite: INSAT-3DR, like its predecessor INSAT-3D, is equipped with an imaging system and an atmospheric sounder.
  • Infrared Channels: It has multiple infrared channels ranging from longwave to shortwave bands, as well as a visible band.
  • Enhanced Capabilities:
    • Middle Infrared Imaging: Provides nighttime pictures of low clouds and fog.
    • Thermal Infrared Imaging: Estimates Sea Surface Temperature (SST) with improved accuracy.
  • Imaging System- Prediction and Monitoring:
    • Snow and Clouds: The satellite differentiates snow and clouds by their solar reflectance and shortwave infrared absorption.
    • Day Microphysics: Uses solar reflectance data at three wavelengths (visible, shortwave infrared, and thermal infrared) to determine image coloration.
    • Night Microphysics: Evaluates the difference between thermal infrared signals to calculate image coloration.

Importance to India

  • Weather Forecasting: INSAT-3DR uses radiometers and atmospheric sounders to track these parameters, aiding in cyclone and weather event monitoring.
  • Technological Integration: Combines satellite data with ground-based observations from Automatic Weather Stations (AWS), the Global Telecommunication System (GTS), Agro-meteorological Towers (AGROMET), and Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) systems.

Some of the other Weather Forecasting Methods:

  1. Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) – Supported by ISRO
  2. Global Telecommunication System (GTS)
  3. Agro-meteorological Tower (AGROMET)
  4. Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) Systems
  5. Multi-Model Ensemble (MME)-based Forecasting System – Includes IMD’s Monsoon Mission Climate Forecasting System (MMCFS) Model

These methods are supported and augmented by IMD and various global climate prediction and research centres.